Sky Racing and Brisbane Racing Club’s turf expert Nathan Exelby runs his eye over Saturday’s Hollindale Stakes meeting at Gold Coast.
I Could Do Better, R1 No.8 – $5
He’s getting into a more realistic quote now after a juicy price was served up early. Good fresh winner and he’s gone OK in three runs since without threatening. Very strong through the line last start and up to 1800m on testing ground looks ideal.
Lord Belvedere, R3 No.2 – $4.60
He may not have been at his best in two runs since a spell but he’s been OK and should be ready to peak now at third run back. His spring form is good enough to beat these and he’s well in with 57kg.
Ranch Hand, R5 No.4 – $3.20
Showed plenty of talent in his debut prep, culminating in a solid Magic Millions effort. The feeling was he would always be better next time around and recent trial suggested he’s in good shape for his return here. Drawn to get every chance.
Race 1: I Could Do Better $12-$5, Olympic Class $4.20-$3.60
Race 2: Niedorp $6-$3.80
Race 3: Lord Belvedere $5-$4.60
Race 4: Stampe $6-$4.80, Baller $10-$7.50
Race 5: Ranch Hand $4-$3.20, Dovetail Diva $31-$10
Race 7: Rocketing By $9-$5.50, Simply Fly $7-$5
Race 8: Fifty Stars $9-$8, Avilius $6-$4.80
Race 9: Sofie’s Gold Class $14-$10
R6: GOLD COAST BRACELET (1800M)
Chris Waller holds a monster hand with five runners and I’m confident one of them will get the job done. The two I’m keenest on are Signora Nera ($7) and Grace And Harmony ($6.50). Signora Nera didn’t have the best of luck in the Adrian Knox, then battled on solidly enough in the Oaks when probably not quite seeing out the 2400m. This is panels easier and like the fact she brings stronger Sydney form than Easifar ($6), who won the Brisbane lead-up to this. Grace And Harmony looks the big improver. She’s impressed in two wins this time in and her late strength last start says she will lap up 1800m now. If it’s not a Waller-trained filly, then Nothinsweetaboutme ($16) and Tycoon Evie ($4.40) look the pick of the others.
Selections: 13 Signora Nera, 7 Grace And Harmony, 16 Nothinsweetaboutme, 1 Tycoon Evie
R7: GOLD COAST GUINEAS (1200M)
Lord Olympus ($5) looked super impressive when sitting back and showing a big turn of foot to run over the locals at Doomben a fortnight back. He’s now joined by a couple of others from his home base, who have Sydney form at least the equal of him. Rocketing By ($5.50) did a good job first-up in the Arrowfield and should have plenty of upside from that race. He also gets a key jockey booking. Amish Boy ($9) should have finished closer in that race, but that tends to be his overall story. Marboosha ($5) has a tie in to those horses through Isotope. Just a matter of how much the wide draw plays against her. Simply Fly ($5) was backed off the map last time and is proven on the Coast.
Selections: 2 Rocketing By, 5 Lord Olympus, 12 Marboosha
R8: HOLLINDALE STAKES (1800M)
Great race. Lots of horses you can make a case for. I’m going for what look the strongest formlines, those being the Doncaster Mile and All Aged Stakes. Zaaki ($6.50) should have finished closer in a terrific Australian debut in the Doncaster before maybe just anchored under 59kg second-up. He should be right at his peak now and expect him to measure up, given the way he finished off first up. Avilius ($4.80) wasn’t as dynamic in the Doncaster as he had been in the Ryder/Chipping Norton, but it was still a tidy effort and he’s clearly flying. Fifty Stars ($8) was monstrous though the line in the All Aged and 1800m is lovely progression. Melody Belle ($7) is going to give away a start.
Selections: 7 Zaaki, 1 Fifty Stars, 2 Avilius
R9: SILK STOCKING (1400M)
Liked what Sofie’s Gold Class ($10) did first-up. She couldn’t win from where she was, but kept finding the line behind a super smart one. Out to 1400m on soft ground is ideal, particularly getting a soft run off the inside draw. Wonderful Riri ($3.90) loves the wet and is going super. This is another step up but she’s making great steps in Queensland and will finish off strongly. Maui Girl ($14) is at bigger odds and can’t win on what we saw last time, but have to respect her chances on what she did at Newcastle prior in a better race than this. Given the publicity around William Pike this week, she’s a likely omen bet for many to finish the day on. Shahzade ($17) is better than what the first up run says on paper.
Selections: 3 Sofie’s Gold Class, 7 Wonderful Riri, 15 Maui Girl, 16 Shahzade
AWAY FROM HOME
Mozzie Monster (Caulfield, R8, $4.20) has chased a good filly home twice this campaign. Gets into a race lacking anything in that class and up to 1600m can suit after she was just left right out the back at the wrong time last start. Gosford hosts the metro meeting in New South Wales and Blesk (R3, $3.20) looks to have found a suitable race.